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2023 撸先生AV Draft order: Buccaneers, Raiders, Steelers holding top-10 picks

This is a look at the first-round order for the 2023 撸先生AV Draft heading into Week 9 of the 2022 撸先生AV season, along with the top three needs for each team. The order is determined by record, using strength of schedule as the first tiebreaker (). Keep in mind -- teams that would make the playoffs if the season ended today are marked as PL (short for playoffs) in the order below. The draft order for playoff teams is determined by the results of postseason play.

Arrows reflect movement from last week's order.

NOTE: The 撸先生AV announced in August that the Miami Dolphins will forfeit their 2023 first-round pick and 2024 third-round pick following an investigation into whether the team violated league policies pertaining to the integrity of the game.

UPDATE: The draft order was updated to reflect Tuesday's trade between the Broncos and Dolphins, who parted with a 2023 first-round pick as part of a deal to acquire Bradley Chubb from Denver, per 撸先生AV Network Insiders Ian Rapoport and Tom Pelissero.

Pick
1
Detroit Lions
1-6 · Strength of schedule: .685

Biggest needs: QB, DB, DL

Week 9 opponent: vs. Packers


DP: The Detroit defense, desperate for playmakers, is reaching new lows. The Lions are allowing 32.1 points per game -- the most in the first seven games of a season in franchise history -- and the team has lost a league-high three times when scoring 27 or more points.

Pick
2
Houston Texans
1-5-1 · .425

Biggest needs: QB, WR, Edge

Week 9 opponent: vs. Eagles


EE: We鈥檝e talked about the rare opportunity the Texans could have in search of a quarterback, with two potentially early first-round picks next spring. But that doesn鈥檛 mean they can ignore the defense, especially the front seven.

Pick
3
Carolina Panthers
2-6 · .460

Biggest needs: QB, WR, DL

Week 9 opponent: at Bengals


DP: P.J. Walker has made some impressive throws against injury-plagued secondaries in the past two weeks, earning a passer rating of 97.9 during that span. That should not be overlooked, especially given the circumstances he inherited as Carolina鈥檚 QB1, but the long-term question of who will take snaps for the Panthers remains.

Pick
4
4
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-6 · .533

Biggest needs: DL, WR, TE

Week 9 opponent: vs. Raiders


EE: Trevor Lawrence was at his best in college throwing to big targets such as Tee Higgins and Justyn Ross. With Marvin Jones set for free agency in the spring, landing a longer target on the outside should be high on the to-do list.


UPDATE: The Jaguars made a move that they hope will provide Lawrence with help at receiver long-term, acquiring Calvin Ridley from the Falcons ahead of Tuesday's trade deadline, per 撸先生AV Network Insider Ian Rapoport. Ridley is suspended through at least the 2022 season.

Pick
5
2
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-6 · .597

Biggest needs: OT, CB, DL

Week 9 opponent: Bye


EE: The Steelers rank near the bottom of the league in multiple major pass-defense categories. They really could use a difference-maker at cornerback, which they really haven鈥檛 had in a few years. The division has some special wide receivers who are tough covers.


UPDATE: Pittsburgh added help at cornerback ahead of Tuesday's trade deadline, acquiring William Jackson III , per 撸先生AV Network Insider Tom Pelissero.

Pick
6
3
Las Vegas Raiders
2-5 · .471

Biggest needs: OT, Edge, DL

Week 9 opponent: at Jaguars


EE: We can鈥檛 imagine the Raiders won鈥檛 make several moves along the offensive line this coming offseason. Dylan Parham and Thayer Munford are a good start, but more help is needed to make this offense work effectively. 

Pick
7
2
Seattle Seahawks

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE DENVER BRONCOS


Broncos' record: 3-5 (.443)

Broncos' Week 9 opponent: Bye


See the playoff teams section of this article for analysis of the Seahawks' and Broncos' needs.

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE NEW ORLEANS SAINTS


Saints' record: 3-5 (.468)

Saints' Week 9 opponent: vs. Ravens


NOTE: See the playoff teams section of this article for analysis of the Eagles' needs and the bottom of this article for analysis of the Saints' needs.

Pick
9
10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-5 · .476

Biggest needs: QB, DB, DL

Week 9 opponent: vs. Rams


DP: The interior defensive line figures to be among the many areas of need requiring the Bucs鈥 attention in 2023. William Gholston, Akiem Hicks and Rakeem Nunez-Roches are among the players due to hit free agency.

Pick
10
6
Houston Texans

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE CLEVELAND BROWNS


Browns' record: 3-5 (.476)

Browns' Week 9 opponent: Bye


See Pick No. 2 for analysis of the Texans' needs and the bottom of this article for analysis of the Browns' needs.

Pick
11
2
Chicago Bears
3-5 · .556

Biggest needs: WR, DL, OL

Week 9 opponent: vs. Dolphins


DP: The O-line, still a problematic area for the Bears, takes a backseat on the needs list this week to a couple spots that are arguably in an even more desperate situation. After trading Robert Quinn, Chicago no longer has an anchor up front on defense and we saw the result of that in the Cowboys鈥 49-29 romp on Sunday. It's going to get worse before it gets better on that side of the ball, with Roquan Smith also being dealt.


UPDATE: The Bears addressed their need at wide receiver prior to Tuesday's trade deadline, acquiring Chase Claypool in a , per 撸先生AV Network Insider Tom Pelissero.

Pick
12
2
Arizona Cardinals
3-5 · .559

Biggest needs: OL, CB, Edge

Week 9 opponent: vs. Seahawks


DP: Arizona should be shopping for explosiveness off the edge in 2023. The Cardinals rank near the bottom of the league in sack percentage (4.6%) and their leader in sacks, 12th-year veteran J.J. Watt (4.5), has a contract that voids after this season.

Pick
13
3
Green Bay Packers
3-5 · .597

Biggest needs: WR, S, TE

Week 9 opponent: at Lions


DP: Safety is among the many sources of headaches for the Packers this season. Darnell Savage, a first-round pick in 2019, has not lived up to his billing and Adrian Amos, whose contract voids after the season, has disappointed this year.

Pick
14
6
Detroit Lions

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE LOS ANGELES RAMS


Rams' record: 3-4 (.527)

Rams' Week 9 opponent: at Buccaneers


See Pick No. 1 for analysis of the Lions' needs and the bottom of this article for analysis of the Rams' needs.

Pick
15
2
Indianapolis Colts
3-4-1 · .458

Biggest needs: QB, WR, OG

Week 9 opponent: at Patriots


EE: They鈥檝e used second-round picks to draft their top two young receivers, Alec Pierce and Michael Pittman Jr., but could use a quicker, speedier option to help out whoever the starting quarterback will be in 鈥23.

Pick
16
6
New England Patriots
4-4 · .429

Biggest needs: OT, Edge, WR

Week 9 opponent: vs. Colts


EE: It certainly feels like the Patriots will try to iron out their offensive line -- once their strongest position but now almost a weekly guessing game. After taking OG Cole Strange in Round 1 this year, we wouldn鈥檛 be shocked if they addressed tackle early in next year鈥檚 draft.

Pick
17
2
Washington Commanders
4-4 · .500

Biggest needs: QB, CB, OL

Week 9 opponent: vs. Vikings


DP: No NFC team has allowed more QB pressures than the Commanders (99), who must do a better job in pass protection if they鈥檙e going to give whoever is taking snaps next season a fighting chance to succeed. 

Pick
18
Cincinnati Bengals
4-4 · .516

Biggest needs: DB, OL, DL

Week 9 opponent: vs. Panthers


EE: We could see the Bengals targeting another defensive tackle, especially if they鈥檙e concerned about DJ Reader鈥檚 ability to stay healthy long-term. They鈥檙e always looking for massive defensive tackles to plug inside.

Pick
PL
8
Atlanta Falcons
4-4 · .429

Biggest needs: Edge, QB, OL

Week 9 opponent: vs. Chargers


DP: Atlanta鈥檚 offensive line has been a solid unit this season, so we鈥檒l move it down on the needs list a bit. Will keeping the right side of the front five intact long-term become a challenge, though? Right tackle Kaleb McGary鈥檚 contract expires after this season (the team declined his fifth-year option) and right guard Chris Lindstrom鈥檚 deal is up after next season.

Pick
PL
8
Denver Broncos

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS THROUGH THE MIAMI DOLPHINS


49ers' record: 4-4 (.459)

49ers' Week 9 opponent: Bye

Broncos' needs: OL, LB, WR


EE: On a team that鈥檚 stacked with young talents at receiver, you might not think that position stands as a big need. But the fact that Denver might have at least considered moving Jerry Jeudy and/or KJ Hamler is an indication the work might not be done to upgrade there.


NOTE: See the bottom of this article for analysis of the 49ers' and Dolphins' needs.

Pick
PL
Los Angeles Chargers
4-3 · .406

Biggest needs: WR, OT, CB

Week 9 opponent: at Falcons


EE: With the disappointing J.C. Jackson injured, the Chargers鈥 secondary depth has been stretched. After taking Zion Johnson over Trent McDuffie in this year鈥檚 draft, the Bolts might decide they have to address the position early in 2023.

Pick
PL
Seattle Seahawks
5-3 · .452

Biggest needs: DL, WR, LB

锘匡豢锘匡豢锘匡豢锘匡豢锘匡豢锘匡豢锘匡豢锘匡豢锘匡豢Week 9 opponent: at Cardinals


DP: There could be a need for depth at off-ball linebacker in 2023 with Cody Barton, who has started half the Seahawks鈥 games this season, due to become a free agent.

Pick
PL
New York Jets
5-3 · .453

Biggest needs: OT, S, LB

Week 9 opponent: vs. Bills


EE: Locking down their left tackle is of premium importance and figures to be a position GM Joe Douglas attacks (again). But are we sure they have the right quarterback?

Pick
PL
Baltimore Ravens
5-3 · .571

Biggest needs: WR, Edge, CB

Week 9 opponent: at Saints


EE: Odafe Oweh remains a building block, and David Ojabo could end up a steal if he develops. But there鈥檚 a case to be made for drafting edge help when 33-year-old Justin Houston has been their best rusher in 2022.

Pick
PL
Kansas City Chiefs
5-2 · .481

Biggest needs: OT, DL, WR

Week 9 opponent: vs. Titans


EE: After the trade for Kadarius Toney, their needs might shift to the trenches for more of an infrastructure draft. They really could use a running mate for Chris Jones up front.

Pick
PL
Tennessee Titans
5-2 · .500

Biggest needs: OL, Edge, TE

Week 9 opponent: at Chiefs


EE: They鈥檝e been rotating bodies at tight end the past few years but could use a classic, in-line 鈥淵鈥 tight end. Not only can that help the run game on which this offense is built, but it could also provide a middle-of-the-field target for Ryan Tannehill or Malik Willis.

Pick
PL
New York Giants
6-2 · .492

Biggest needs: QB, WR, RB

Week 9 opponent: Bye


DP: With Kadarius Toney now a member of the Chiefs, the only wide receivers under contract with the Giants beyond this season are Wan鈥橠ale Robinson, Kenny Golladay and Collin Johnson. They have 14 catches combined in 2022 while missing time due to injury. David Sills, who has 11 grabs, will be a restricted free agent.

Pick
PL
Dallas Cowboys
6-2 · .508

Biggest needs: DB, OL, WR

Week 9 opponent: Bye


DP: The Cowboys have drafted at least one wide receiver in five of the last six years. Will they make it six out of seven? Noah Brown, who is second on the team in catches and receiving yards, and James Washington are due to become free agents.

Pick
PL
Minnesota Vikings
6-1 · .463

Biggest needs: DB, WR, TE

Week 9 opponent: at Commanders


DP: With Za鈥橠arius Smith playing at a high level and pending free agent Irv Smith Jr. struggling to stay healthy, tight end replaces edge rusher on the needs list this week.


UPDATE: The Vikings addressed their need for a tight end ahead of Tuesday's trade deadline, acquiring former first-round pick T.J. Hockenson in a deal with the Lions.

Pick
PL
Buffalo Bills
6-1 · .528

Biggest needs: OL, S, LB

Week 9 opponent: at Jets


EE: The Bills attacked the secondary in the 2022 draft with Kaiir Elam and Christian Benford and in 2021 with Damar Hamlin, but it wouldn鈥檛 hurt to add more depth on the back end with Micah Hyde (out for the season with injury) and Jordan Poyer (2023 free agent) each entering their age-32 seasons next year.

Pick
PL
Philadelphia Eagles
7-0 · .444

Biggest needs: DB, Edge, DL

Week 9 opponent: at Texans


DP: Philly added help at edge rusher before the trade deadline with the acquisition of Robert Quinn, but the position remains on the needs list for 2023 since Quinn and the Eagles agreed to remove the final two years remaining on his contract. He鈥檒l be a free agent this offseason. 

TEAMS CURRENTLY WITHOUT A FIRST-ROUND PICK

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE HOUSTON TEXANS


Biggest needs: WR, DL, OT

Week 9 opponent: Bye


EE: Depending on what they think of James Hudson at season鈥檚 end, drafting an offensive tackle fairly early could make sense. When Jack Conklin鈥檚 contract was restructured, it was an indication that this could be his final season in Cleveland.

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE DETROIT LIONS


Biggest needs: Edge, OL, DB

Week 9 opponent: at Buccaneers


DP: GM Les Snead has a history of finding value in the middle rounds of the draft. Can he work that magic for the defensive backfield in 2023? Safeties Nick Scott and Taylor Rapp and corners Grant Haley, David Long and Troy Hill (contract voids) are due to reach the market.

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS TO THE DENVER BRONCOS


Biggest needs: OL, CB, TE

Week 9 opponent: at Bears


EE: Can the Dolphins count on Byron Jones anymore? That question could be answered by the way Miami navigates the early parts of the draft. A cornerback figures to be relatively high on their needs list.

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES


Biggest needs: QB, DL, WR

Week 9 opponent: vs. Ravens


DP: New Orleans just spent a first-round pick on Chris Olave, but the team might have to add more young talent at wide receiver if Michael Thomas can鈥檛 stay healthy. Keep in mind that Jarvis Landry, who is also dealing with an injury, is playing on a one-year deal.

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE MIAMI DOLPHINS


Biggest needs: OL, DL, DB

Week 9 opponent: Bye


DP: Free agency might take a bite out of the San Francisco secondary, with starters Tashaun Gipson, Jimmie Ward (contract voids in 2023) and Emmanuel Moseley among the players who could walk.

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