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2023 ߣÏÈÉúAV Draft order: Texans holding two of the top four picks

This is a look at the first-round order for the 2023 ߣÏÈÉúAV Draft heading into Week 8 of the 2022 ߣÏÈÉúAV season, along with the top three needs for each team. The order is determined by record, using strength of schedule as the first tiebreaker (). Keep in mind -- teams that would make the playoffs if the season ended today are marked as PL (short for playoffs) in the order below. The draft order for playoff teams is determined by the results of postseason play.

Arrows reflect movement from last week's order.

NOTE: The ߣÏÈÉúAV announced in August that the Miami Dolphins will forfeit their 2023 first-round pick and 2024 third-round pick following an investigation into whether the team violated league policies pertaining to the integrity of the game.

Pick
1
2
Detroit Lions
1-5 · Strength of schedule: .650

Biggest needs: QB, DB, DL

Week 8 opponent: vs. Dolphins


DP: After scoring six points total in the last two games, the idea of a fresh start at quarterback must sound like a pretty good idea in Detroit, which is in line to pick inside the top 10 for the fifth straight year.

Pick
2
2
Houston Texans
1-4-1 · .402

Biggest needs: QB, WR, Edge

Week 8 opponent: vs. Titans


EE: Understandably, quarterback is the position everyone is focusing on, as the Texans currently are holding two top-five picks. But there could be a significant overhaul at receiver, too.

Pick
3
2
Carolina Panthers
2-5 · .458

Biggest needs: QB, WR, DL

Week 8 opponent: at Falcons


DP: Running back replaces defensive line on the needs list this week following the Christian McCaffrey trade. Complementary back Chuba Hubbard is the only Carolina rusher signed beyond this season.

Pick
4
2
Houston Texans

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE CLEVELAND BROWNS


Browns' record: 2-5 (.469)

Browns' Week 8 opponent: vs. Bengals


See Pick No. 2 for analysis of the Texans' needs and the bottom of this article for analysis of the Browns' needs.

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE DENVER BRONCOS


Broncos' record: 2-5 (.489)

Broncos' Week 8 opponent: at Jaguars


See the playoff teams section of this article for analysis of the Seahawks' needs and the bottom of this article for analysis of the Broncos' needs.

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE NEW ORLEANS SAINTS


Saints' record: 2-5 (.500)

Saints' Week 8 opponent: vs. Raiders


NOTE: See the playoff teams section of this article for analysis of the Eagles' needs and the bottom of this article for analysis of the Saints' needs.

Pick
7
3
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-5 · .542

Biggest needs: OT, CB, DL

Week 8 opponent: at Eagles


EE: Cameron Sutton looks like a keeper, but the Steelers could use more depth at corner. 

Pick
8
4
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-5 · .585

Biggest needs: DL, WR, TE

Week 8 opponent: vs. Broncos


EE: They’re in a tough spot, as the Jaguars must continue building around Trevor Lawrence, but the defense has shown signs of regression lately.

Pick
9
7
Las Vegas Raiders
2-4 · .488

Biggest needs: OT, Edge, DL

Week 8 opponent: at Saints


EE: The Raiders have a true defensive difference maker in Maxx Crosby but few others who command much attention up front, with Chandler Jones (0.5 sacks) a disappointment so far.

Pick
10
4
New England Patriots
3-4 · .396

Biggest needs: OT, Edge, WR

Week 8 opponent: at Jets


EE: Their offensive needs are pretty clear. But Bill Belichick hasn’t used a first-round pick on defense since 2015 (DT Malcom Brown), and the Patriots are never afraid to go against the grain.

Pick
11
4
Atlanta Falcons
3-4 · .438

Biggest needs: OL, Edge, QB

Week 8 opponent: vs. Panthers


DP: The Falcons invested in their pass rush in the 2022 draft, and they might need to do the same next year. Atlanta ranks dead last in the league in sack percentage (3.7%), per Next Gen Stats.

Pick
12
6
Miami Dolphins

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS


49ers' record: 3-4 (.458)

49ers' Week 8 opponent: at Rams

Dolphins' needs: OL, CB, RB


EE: They’ve largely struggled to maximize their draft investments in the offensive line in recent years. But if they can’t find veteran OL help, can they afford to not address that position relatively early in the draft?


NOTE: See the bottom of this article for analysis of the 49ers' needs.

Pick
13
2
Chicago Bears
3-4 · .521

Biggest needs: OL, WR, DL

Week 8 opponent: at Cowboys


DP: The Bears have spent only one draft pick on an interior defensive lineman in the last four drafts, and it was a seventh-rounder (Khyiris Tonga, in 2021, who's now with the Vikings). With three IDLs headed for free agency in 2023, GM Ryan Poles will likely be looking for help at the spot next spring.

Pick
14
6
Arizona Cardinals
3-4 · .522

Biggest needs: OL, CB, Edge

Week 8 opponent: at Vikings


DP: Cornerback could end up as the Cardinals’ biggest need this offseason. They have only two CBs under contract beyond the 2022 campaign -- rookie Christian Matthew and second-year defender Marco Wilson.

Pick
15
6
Washington Commanders
3-4 · .522

Biggest needs: QB, CB, OL

Week 8 opponent: at Colts


DP: With William Jackson III wanting out, Washington is down a veteran corner at the moment and could be in the market at the position next spring.

Pick
16
1
Green Bay Packers
3-4 · .583

Biggest needs: WR, S, TE

Week 8 opponent: at Bills


DP: The sputtering Packers will need to re-sign their own guys or hit the tight end market in 2023, as both Robert Tonyan and Marcedes Lewis have expiring contracts.

Pick
17
5
Indianapolis Colts
3-3-1 · .446

Biggest needs: QB, WR, Edge

Week 8 opponent: vs. Commanders


EE: There will be immense pressure on the Colts to find a quarterback. The Matt Ryan experiment can already be deemed a failure, with the 37-year-old being benched by Frank Reich.

Pick
18
2
Cincinnati Bengals
4-3 · .510

Biggest needs: DB, OL, TE

Week 8 opponent: at Browns


EE: Hayden Hurst has been a nice addition this season. But there’s only one tight end on the roster currently under contract for 2023 (Devin Asiasi). The Bengals have used five picks on tight ends in Rounds 1-3 since 2009, but they could be back in the market again.

Pick
PL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-4 · .449

Biggest needs: QB, DB, DL

Week 8 opponent: vs. Ravens


DP: Free agency could take a bite out of the Tampa Bay secondary. Sean Murphy-Bunting, Jamel Dean, Mike Edwards, Keanu Neal and Logan Ryan are in the final year of their deals.

Pick
PL
Detroit Lions

PICK ACQUIRED FROM THE LOS ANGELES RAMS


Rams' record: 3-3 (.512)

Rams' Week 8 opponent: vs. 49ers


See Pick No. 1 for analysis of the Lions' needs and the bottom of this article for analysis of the Rams' needs.

Pick
PL
8
Seattle Seahawks
4-3 · .375

Biggest needs: DL, WR, LB

Week 8 opponent: vs. Giants


DP: Seattle’s depth at wide receiver will be tested for as long as DK Metcalf is sidelined. Marquise Goodwin stepped up on Sunday, but can the pending free agent keep it going?

Pick
PL
Los Angeles Chargers
4-3 · .394

Biggest needs: LB, WR, OT

Week 8 opponent: Bye


EE: It wouldn’t be shocking to see GM Tom Telesco target a receiver fairly high in next spring’s draft. Keenan Allen will be carrying a cap hit of $21.7 million, Mike Williams has had a lengthy injury history and Josh Palmer remains in the wait-and-see stage of his development.

Pick
PL
Baltimore Ravens
4-3 · .604

Biggest needs: WR, Edge, CB

Week 8 opponent: at Buccaneers


EE: It might not be their most pressing need, but the Ravens could use some new blood at cornerback. Marlon Humphrey is under contract through 2026, but Marcus Peters is due to hit free agency in the spring.

Pick
PL
Tennessee Titans
4-2 · .575

Biggest needs: OL, Edge, TE

Week 8 opponent: at Texans


EE: Taylor Lewan will be entering his age-32 season coming off a serious knee injury and in the final year of his deal, set to make more than $14 million (but with no money guaranteed). Will he be a cut candidate? The other tackles on the roster haven’t gotten it done.

Pick
PL
New York Jets
5-2 · .429

Biggest needs: OT, S, LB

Week 8 opponent: vs. Patriots


EE: Aside from converted college DB Jamien Sherwood, GM Joe Douglas has not used a pick on a linebacker in his three drafts with the Jets. That could be a position they attack in the offseason.

Pick
PL
Kansas City Chiefs
5-2 · .500

Biggest needs: OT, WR, DL

Week 8 opponent: Bye


EE: It’s not hard to envision JuJu Smith-Schuster re-signing with the Chiefs, the way things are going so far. But another free-agent-to-be in 2023, Mecole Hardman, has been hot and cold with Kansas City. Will he be back next season? Skyy Moore is in tow, but he’s off to a slow start in his rookie year.

Pick
PL
Dallas Cowboys
5-2 · .565

Biggest needs: DB, OL, WR

Week 8 opponent: vs. Bears


DP: Adding depth to the offensive line might have to be a priority for Dallas, with starting guard Connor McGovern in the final year of his contract and Tyron Smith struggling to stay healthy.

Pick
PL
Minnesota Vikings
5-1 · .475

Biggest needs: DB, WR, Edge

Week 8 opponent: vs. Cardinals


DP: With Adam Thielen seemingly in decline, finding a more dynamic target to complement Justin Jefferson could be crucial for the Minnesota offense in 2023. 

Pick
PL
Buffalo Bills
5-1 · .550

Biggest needs: OL, S, LB

Week 8 opponent: vs. Packers


EE: Rodger Saffold turns 35 before next season and is set to hit free agency this offseason, so the Bills could look to draft a ready-made interior lineman if they can’t secure one on the open market. 

Pick
PL
New York Giants
6-1 · .479

Biggest needs: QB, WR, RB

Week 8 opponent: at Seahawks


DP: As we approach midseason, the Giants are the only ߣÏÈÉúAV team without at least one wide receiver who has eclipsed the 200-yard mark. The position probably will be atop their needs list if they ultimately re-sign Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley.

Pick
PL
Philadelphia Eagles
6-0 · .475

Biggest needs: DB, Edge, DL

Week 8 opponent: vs. Steelers


DP: In this pass-happy era of football, the Eagles haven’t spent a first-round pick on a defensive back since 2002. Will the team put that streak to an end with one of its two first-round picks next year? James Bradberry, Marcus Epps and C.J. Gardner-Johnson are due to become free agents in 2023, and Darius Slay's deal will be up after next season.

TEAMS CURRENTLY WITHOUT A FIRST-ROUND PICK

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE HOUSTON TEXANS


Biggest needs: WR, DL, Edge

Week 8 opponent: vs. Bengals


EE: The Browns have rotated four young interior defensive linemen -- Perrion Winfrey, Jordan Elliott, Taven Bryan and Tommy Togiai -- and haven’t received great performances from any of them consistently. Would they dip back into the draft for more help or go the veteran route?

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE SEATTLE SEAHAWKS


Biggest needs: OL, RB, LB

Week 8 opponent: at Jaguars


EE: GM George Paton’s history, both in Denver and in his time with the Vikings, shows that he values the RB position. Javonte Williams will be back next year, but he’ll be coming off a torn ACL, and the Broncos really could use a good receiver at the position to complement him.

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE DETROIT LIONS


Biggest needs: Edge, OL, DB

Week 8 opponent: vs. 49ers


DP: The Rams went into their Week 7 bye with two of their linemen ranked among the 10 worst in pass pro at their respective positions (OT Joe Noteboom, OG Bobby Evans), and another ranked among the five worst at the pivot (C Jeremiah Kolone), according to . Matthew Stafford is going to need better from his front five.

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES


Biggest needs: QB, DL, WR

Week 8 opponent: vs. Raiders


DP: The Saints’ defense is one of the league’s most disappointing units, ranking 31st in scoring a year after finishing fourth in the category. New Orleans is among the few teams that have allowed 20-plus points in every game this season, and three of its four starters on the defensive line are due to become free agents this offseason.

TRADED FIRST-ROUND PICK TO THE MIAMI DOLPHINS


Biggest needs: OL, DL, DB

Week 8 opponent: at Rams


DP: The trenches might need to be the focus for the 49ers next spring, with two starters on the offensive line and a few key contributors on the defensive line in a walk year.

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